Higher Zofran Predicts Slightly Higher Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances for Population
Contents
Mike Sinn
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
Mike Sinn

Variables

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Zofran 9
A
Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances 786

Categories

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Causes of Illness 2289
A
Symptoms 13336

Actions

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Your Data

Tags

Low Confidence
Very Weak Effect Size
Positive Relationship
Population Study
cause image gauge image effect image
Participants reported a 11.8% average increase in Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances following above average Zofran.
Abstract

Abstract

Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances was generally 12.1% higher than average after 0 count of Zofran per 7 days.

Aggregated data from 1 study participants suggests with a LOW degree of confidence (p=0.087, 95% CI -0.188 to 0.58) that Zofran has a weakly positive predictive relationship (R=0.196) with Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances.

The highest quartile of Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances measurements were observed following an average 0.28 count Zofran per day.

The lowest quartile of Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances measurements were observed following an average 0.0833 count of Zofran per day.

After an onset delay of 0 seconds, Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances is typically 2% lower than average over the 7 days following around 0.0833 count Zofran.

Objective

Objective

The objective of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship (if any) between Zofran and Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances. Additionally, we attempt to determine the Zofran values most likely to produce optimal Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances values.
Participant Instructions

Participant Instructions

Manual Recording Option

A Create a reminder for Zofran here and record it daily by enabling notifications or using A the reminder inbox here .


Manual Recording Option

A Create a reminder for Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances here and record it daily by enabling notifications or using A the reminder inbox here .

Design

Design

This study is based on data donated by 1 participants. Thus, the study design is equivalent to the aggregation of 1 separate n=1 observational natural experiments.

Data Analysis

Data Analysis

Zofran Pre-Processing

Zofran measurement values below 0 count were assumed erroneous and removed. No maximum allowed measurement value was defined for Zofran. It was assumed that any gaps in Zofran data were unrecorded 0 count measurement values.

Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances Pre-Processing

Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances measurement values below 1 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances measurement values above 5 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. No missing data filling value was defined for Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.

Predictive Analytics

It was assumed that 0 seconds would pass before a change in Zofran would produce an observable change in Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances.

It was assumed that Zofran could produce an observable change in Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.

Statistical Significance

Statistical Significance

Using a two-tailed t-test with alpha = 0.05, it was determined that the change in Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances is statistically significant at 95% confidence interval.

After treatment, a 11.8% increase (0.4 out of 5) from the mean baseline 3.31 out of 5 was observed. The relative standard deviation at baseline was 24.3%. The observed change was 0.496782 times the standard deviation.

A common rule of thumb considers a change greater than twice the baseline standard deviation on two separate pre-post experiments may be considered significant. This occurrence would have only a 5% likelihood of resulting from random fluctuation (a p-value < 0.05).

Data Sources

Data Sources

Zofran data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Limitations

Limitations

As with any human experiment, it was impossible to control for all potentially confounding variables. Correlation does not necessarily imply causation. We can never know for sure if one factor is definitely the cause of an outcome. However, lack of correlation definitely implies the lack of a causal relationship. Hence, we can with great confidence rule out non-existent relationships. For instance, if we discover no relationship between mood and an antidepressant this information is just as or even more valuable than the discovery that there is a relationship.

We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.

Criteria For Causal Inference

Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)

A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a weakly positive (R = 0.196) relationship between Zofran and Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances.

Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)

Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 42 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their Zofran values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.

Specificity

Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.

Temporality

The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that time-precedence was taken into account in all calculations.

Biological Gradient

Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.

Plausibility

A plausible bio-chemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel.

Based on our responses so far,

0 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action for a relationship between Zofran and Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances.

0 humans feel that any relationship observed between Zofran and Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances is coincidental.

Coherence

Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.

Experiment

All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.

Analogy

The effect of similar factors may be considered.

Plausibility

Plausibility

A plausible bio-chemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 0 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between Zofran and Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances is coincidental.

Relationship Statistics

Property Value
Cause Variable Name Zofran
Effect Variable Name Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances
Sinn Predictive Coefficient 0.018651865577149
Confidence Level LOW
Confidence Interval 0.38415519481257
Forward Pearson Predictive Coefficient 0.196
Critical T Value 1.676
Total Zofran Over Previous 7 days Before ABOVE Average Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances 0.28 count
Total Zofran Over Previous 7 days Before BELOW Average Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances 0.0833 count
Duration of Action 7 days
Effect Size weakly positive
Number of Paired Measurements 42
Optimal Pearson Product 0.10103809329306
P Value 0.087015026112616
Statistical Significance 0.0043
Strength of Relationship 0.38415519481257
Study Type population
Analysis Performed At 2021-08-30
Number of Participants 1

Zofran Info

Property Value
Variable Name Zofran
Aggregation Method SUM
Analysis Performed At 2020-10-07
Duration of Action 7 days
Filling Value 0
Kurtosis 33.289844240937
Mean 0.028169 count
Median 0 count
Minimum Allowed Value 0 count
Number of Aggregate Predictors 0
Number of Aggregate Outcomes 9
Number of Measurements 5
Number of Measurements (including those generated by tagged, joined, or child variables) 5
Public true
Onset Delay 0 seconds
Standard Deviation 0.14360968788605
Unit Count
User Variables 2
UPC 787647100507
Variable Category Causes of Illness
Variable ID 98397
Variance 0.041247484909457

Insomnia or Sleep Disturbances Info

Property Value
Variable Name Insomnia Or Sleep Disturbances
Aggregation Method MEAN
Analysis Performed At 2021-07-06
Duration of Action 24 hours
Kurtosis 1.7235876061481
Maximum Allowed Value 5 out of 5
Mean 3.3539501449275 out of 5
Median 3.3433075362319 out of 5
Minimum Allowed Value 1 out of 5
Number of Aggregate Predictors 643
Number of Aggregate Outcomes 143
Number of Measurements 2231
Number of Measurements (including those generated by tagged, joined, or child variables) 2231
Public true
Onset Delay 0 seconds
Standard Deviation 0.46613871337773
Unit 1 to 5 Rating
User Variables 527
UPC 646437277334
Variable Category Symptoms
Variable ID 89251
Variance 0.57196769644228